Chris Simms and Mike Florio make their picks for Week 18's titanic Sunday Night Football matchup, as the Lions host the Vikings with the No. 1 seed and NFC North title on the line.

Don't just assume that because a team is eliminated from the playoff race, or have their seed clinched and will be playing backups, that they have nothing to play for. It's a fallacy and the betting lines for the season finale usually reflect it.

Oddly, the Rams saw their playoff spot clinched Sunday night by Washington’s win over Atlanta. The Rams are NFC West champs, regardless of what happens against the Seahawks in Week 18. They have won five in a row and six of their last seven. They have won their last three despite not scoring 20 points in any of those games.